Will Donald Trump take the USA and the rest of the world into recession

Toss a coin to find out, but it is starting to look that way, even if his policies do start to have a positive impact it could take months or even years for this to happen. The UK had a similar situation when the then Prime Minister Liz Truss was in charge and used radical economical policies in an effort to turbocharge growth. She failed dramatically and was quickly removed from office still insisting that given time the UK would become a superpower.

The difference between the US and UK is that its possible to remove an English leader before the end of their term but not an American one. I think that if America starts to fast-track deals with other countries and then changed their tarrifs to where they were orginally then this would work but it needs to be implimented quickly.

I like America, a country where its possible for anyone to become successful if they work hard enough, or have parents that have worked hard enough and passed money onto their children. I am so impressed with Bill Gates a person who has made so much money and is now giving it away through various charities. Now that is special.

I am trying so hard not to send him the thousand begging letters printed out using Microsoft, My mom had many wise sayings, one of them was ‘theirs no pockets in a shroud’ wonder if I could set up a company that makes shrouds with pockets in them; just in case?

U-turn

So despite his denials of causing a Worldwide recession the President of the United States has completed a U-turn and reduced tariffs for most countries to 10 percent for a period of ninety days, except for China which is 125 percent and could go even higher. The fact that the cost of borrowing in the US has quickly risen to extreme levels has triggered this change in direction by Trump.

Wonder what he will do next, maybe even the President dosen’t know and that’s frightening.

The President who wears the invisible suit

Most times I don’t like to be wrong but this time I hope I am because the way the President of the US is behaving is quite scary, and most of the new policies he is implementing have massive implications not just for America but for the whole world. The trade tarrifs he is setting will inevitably cause other countries to retaliate with tarrifs of their own and possibly cause a global reccession. But is Trump far more intelligent than he appears to be, could he be playing world leaders the way a fisherman plays a fish, giving just enough slack until they tire and are landed in the keep net. Or is he wearing the invisible suit and one day a boy who isn’t aware of this looks at the president and suddenly shouts. The President isn’t wearing any clothes, and slowly the crowd shouts, the President is in the all together, the all together, he’s as naked as the day he was born.

As someone of a similar age that may not be something that the world would like to see.

Wonder how much he paid for that suit.

I do like America and the people who live there, they gave us Jazz, the Blues, and rock and roll.

I recently watched a YouTube clip of Frank Sinatra singing ‘The Lady is a Tramp to Rita Hayworth in the film Pal Joey and found it quite fascinating at the chemistry between the two and the rest of the cast. I had forgotten how great that period of films was. It’s good that when memories start to fade there is a way to bring some of them back, not the same as being there but:

There was once an actor who became a President and a President who became an actor

Only time will tell who made the best career choice but it’s almost certain that they will never become a double-act.

Trump has started to turn the world as we know it upside down and despite having deep concerns about the way he is implementing his policies there are some I agree with.

Europe has relied on America for far too long to be the main supplier of security both in terms of finance and military hardware, now that Trump has withdrawn some of this support Europe is scrambling to plug the gaps, if the Europeans succeed it will give them an independence they never had before with the chance to respond far faster to any future conflicts.

Now we come to finance and this could be a far more difficult problem to solve when even the most astute financial experts could struggle to predict with any certainty what will happen after Trump has introduced tariffs to so many different countries. Even the best jugglers in the world reach a limit to how many balls they can keep in the air at one time and the American President is going for the record.

If Trump gets the finances wrong it won’t only be his country that goes into recession; it will be the whole world.

Ukraine has always been fighting a war that it could not win or even draw without international aid and sadly it appears Trump is withdrawing most of that. It seems that America will take the majority of Ukraine’s mineral rights and possibly allow Russia part of them with all the land they have taken and allow them to expand much further into Ukraine.

Wars show the worst part of humans but I doubt we will ever arrive at a time when we all live together in peace.

I wonder what will happen to America if China invades Taiwan will the European countries support the Americans?

After one of the longest wettest winters in years the UK has just had three days of sun, not that warm about 12 degrees but enough for leaf buds to start to form on the trees and shrubs, blackbirds are starting to build nests, Of course, non of these life forms understand what being alive really means, but neither do we.

Donald Trump and the takeaway that isn’t from Mcdonald’s

I watched in admiration the speech given by President Zelensky regarding the war in Ukraine between his country and Russia; and thought If ever a phrase is relevant it’s the one ‘between a rock and a hard place; the rock being Putin and the hard place being Donald Trump

Now America is forming a peace plan without the involvement of Ukraine.

Even before President Trump was elected he stated that he would end the war in twenty-four hours; well that didn’t happen, but if he gives Russia everything they ask for, which is all the land they have gained, then a sort of peace may happen. but Putin won’t stop at that; over the last few years, he has built up a massive army and munition supply chain and has been rewarded for being a dictator. America has put a lot of money and resources into helping Ukraine and logically Trump is correct to say the EU should be the one to supply the greatest assistance, for far too long Europe and the UK have not taken security seriously enough.

Remember what happened when Germany started to threaten their immediate neighbors in the nineteen thirties? No one thought Hitler would ever invade. They did. We have short memories.

Steve Winwood

Not many people even those who love music would know who Steve Winwood is and that’s probably understandable because he was born in Birmingham UK, not a City associated with the earthy type of music he made. At the age of twenty, I started going to a music venue in Handsworth Birmingham called the Plaza which had a reputation for bringing in the latest musical groups ( It was nearly all groups then rather than single acts and most artists played an instrument or sometimes more than one) One night The Spencer Group performed I was astounded by the voice of the small childlike figure of the lead singer who I later found out was Steve Winwood. It was how I imagined some of the thirties jazz musicians in America.

One of his songs was ‘Dimples’ written by John Lee Hooker, it was popular with all the local pub groups but Steve took it to a new level. He would later migrate to Traffic and Blind Faith, Bob Dillian was amazed by his voice.

This is where you run, sorry that’s Shreck. This is where you listen to Dimples, Keep on Running, Somebody Help Me, Gime Some Loving,

Watch them on YouTube with a glass of Yellow Tail Sharaz and Maybe Rave On Buddy Holly, ‘Glad All Over’ Dave Clark Five.

Various

On the rare occasions that I ask the AI system Alexa a question it will always respond by saying either Good morning David or Good afternoon, so I thought I would ask if it uses a voice recognition system. Its reply was ‘I recognize you.’ Must remember not to walk into my office-loft area naked as it could induce a short circuit.

I cut down two very old apple trees in the back garden and had very mixed emotions, my mom bought me the trees over forty years ago and they were small enough for both of them to fit inside my car. But I used the logs to make two reindeer, I have to explain to people what they are, as the legs are too short making them look like Dachshunds. My wife isn’t impressed but as I often say, ‘art is a funny old thing’ and in mitigation the logs were far too short to make something that looked like the real thing. And if a Banana taped to a wall can sell for five million, well I am open to offers, and I will throw in free post and package.

It’s nearly thirty years since my mom died and despite me being a very difficult child I can never remember my Mom shouting at me. She was always so positive and I was so lucky to have parents that were so caring.



Syria and the rest of the world

Well, you couldn’t make it up the way the world is evolving and the jury is out whether it’s for the better or worse. Most of the changing world map is because of the way Isreal has targeted Hamas in Gasa and Hezbollah in Lebanon this is causing a domino effect with other countries such as the so-called rebel military organization sweeping through Syria But it may not stop there because this toppling of established regimes will be causing the leadership in Iran to have sleepless nights and even the Russian Leader Vladimir Putin in the rare moments when he loses concentration may think about his own longevity.

Humans are designed to put their own and their families survival above everything else, but what is happening in the world now goes far beyond self-protection. Maybe one day we will evolve and love and protect everyone in this world but……

Vladimir Putin

Storm

If anyone in the UK had doubts about global warming the weather over the last few months may have changed their viewpoint. Fifty years ago flooding was a rare event that only happened every twenty years but now they happen every few weeks.

But, there could be some truth in the group of people who say this is a natural evaluation that has happened many times before.

Whatever the reason there is little doubt that the way we live our lives is very destructive. Most families have two or three cars but most times only use one The rest stay on driveways made from material that prevents the rain from draining away. Cars are double the size they used to be and very often only a single person uses them. Why? Is it a status thing.? And larger cars take more energy and material to make. We build houses on flood plains without any awareness of what might happen or preventive measures.

How many clothes do we have in our wardrobes that are never used, we buy things just in case and once again they take energy to produce. Once again time will tell who is right.

End game in Ukraine

The rumors are that when the new president of the United of America takes office he will end the war in Ukraine by offering any land the Russians have taken as theirs and possibly add more. And of course Putin will try to make sure that Ukraine never joins Europe.

But long-term Putin may have made a massive mistake; Ukraine will never forget what has happened and there will be a queue of countries willing to help in the rebuilding process, financially and with manpower.

Ukrainians are clever people and given time will develop their own sophisticated weapons so if they are threatened again the next time they will be ready.

This offer of help is not one-sided, Ukraine has many natural resources and will soon rebuild their economy.

I wish them well.